September 13, 2024
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Edgar Chairez | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Edgar Chairez | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Edgar Chairez | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 988 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Joshua Van earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Edgar Chairez | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 79 | 118 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 189 | 200 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 87 | 183 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 954 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Joshua Van dominated the striking exchanges with 183 vs 87 total strikes, 118 vs 79 significant strikes, 59.0% vs 41.8% accuracy. Joshua Van capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Edgar Chairez | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:27 | 4:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 914 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -74 | +74 |
Joshua Van controlled Edgar Chairez on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 4:26 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Edgar Chairez | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 203 | 63 |
| Activity ELO | 999 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +49 |
Joshua Van demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 63 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Joshua Van capitalized on this activity level, while Edgar Chairez's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Edgar Chairez | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 983 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +20 |
Joshua Van started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Edgar Chairez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Edgar Chairez | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.