July 7, 2023
Catch Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Edgar Chairez | Tatsuro Taira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 976 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Tatsuro Taira's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tatsuro Taira for the expected result. Had Edgar Chairez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Edgar Chairez | Tatsuro Taira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 983 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Edgar Chairez | Tatsuro Taira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 975 | 1 170 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Tatsuro Taira earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Edgar Chairez | Tatsuro Taira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 61 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 78 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 26 | 121 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 966 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Tatsuro Taira dominated the striking exchanges with 121 vs 26 total strikes, 61 vs 25 significant strikes, 78.2% vs 65.8% accuracy. Tatsuro Taira capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Edgar Chairez | Tatsuro Taira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:25 | 9:53 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 35 |
| Ground ELO | 964 | 1 267 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Tatsuro Taira dominated Edgar Chairez on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 9:53 of control time, 35 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Edgar Chairez | Tatsuro Taira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 985 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +26 |
Tatsuro Taira demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tatsuro Taira capitalized on this activity level, while Edgar Chairez's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Edgar Chairez | Tatsuro Taira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 983 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +23 |
Tatsuro Taira extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Edgar Chairez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Edgar Chairez | Tatsuro Taira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 983 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

