Edilberto de Oliveira vs Luke Cummo

September 18, 2007

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

933
(-30)
Edilberto de Oliveira
Winner: Luke Cummo
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:45

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Edilberto de Oliveira-30
Luke Cummo+38
1051
(+38)
Luke Cummo

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Edilberto de Oliveira: -27Luke Cummo: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricEdilberto de OliveiraLuke Cummo
Total UFC Fights25
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO9521 053
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Luke Cummo's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Luke Cummo for the expected result. Had Edilberto de Oliveira pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Edilberto de Oliveira: -20Luke Cummo: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricEdilberto de OliveiraLuke Cummo
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9591 022
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Edilberto de Oliveira: -29Luke Cummo: +70

Performance Statistics

MetricEdilberto de OliveiraLuke Cummo
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:451:45
Win Type ELO9291 136
ELO Change-29+70
💡

What Happened

Luke Cummo earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:45, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Edilberto de Oliveira: -52Luke Cummo: +52

Performance Statistics

MetricEdilberto de OliveiraLuke Cummo
Significant Strikes Landed56
Significant Strikes Attempted1619
Total Strikes Landed56
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO8491 108
ELO Change-52+52
💡

What Happened

Luke Cummo controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Luke Cummo capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Edilberto de Oliveira: -55Luke Cummo: +55

Performance Statistics

MetricEdilberto de OliveiraLuke Cummo
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:02
Ground Strikes Landed01
Ground ELO893986
ELO Change-55+55
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Edilberto de Oliveira: -19Luke Cummo: +33

Performance Statistics

MetricEdilberto de OliveiraLuke Cummo
Days Since Last Fight151165
Activity ELO9601 050
ELO Change-19+33
💡

What Happened

Luke Cummo demonstrated solid activity levels with 165 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Luke Cummo capitalized on this activity level, while Edilberto de Oliveira's 151-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Edilberto de Oliveira: -19Luke Cummo: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricEdilberto de OliveiraLuke Cummo
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9601 029
ELO Change-19+23
💡

What Happened

Luke Cummo extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Edilberto de Oliveira is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Edilberto de Oliveira: -20Luke Cummo: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricEdilberto de OliveiraLuke Cummo
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9591 022
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.