August 23, 2024
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Edmen Shahbazyan | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 21 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 076 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Gerald Meerschaert's 10-fight experience advantage (21 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gerald Meerschaert for the expected result. Had Edmen Shahbazyan pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Edmen Shahbazyan | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 017 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Edmen Shahbazyan | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:12 | 4:12 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 194 | 1 344 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +54 |
Gerald Meerschaert earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:12, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Edmen Shahbazyan was submitted.
| Metric | Edmen Shahbazyan | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 113 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 48 | 31 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 095 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Edmen Shahbazyan controlled the striking through superior volume (48 vs 31 total strikes), significant strike advantage (48 vs 21). However, since Edmen Shahbazyan lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Gerald Meerschaert's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Edmen Shahbazyan | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:21 | 0:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 17 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 047 | 1 212 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Gerald Meerschaert controlled Edmen Shahbazyan on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:21 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Edmen Shahbazyan | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 101 | 1 222 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +29 |
Gerald Meerschaert demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gerald Meerschaert capitalized on this activity level, while Edmen Shahbazyan's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Edmen Shahbazyan | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 042 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Gerald Meerschaert extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Edmen Shahbazyan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Edmen Shahbazyan | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 016 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

