May 21, 2021
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Edmen Shahbazyan | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 145 | 1 260 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Jack Hermansson's 7-fight experience advantage (13 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jack Hermansson for the expected result. Had Edmen Shahbazyan pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Edmen Shahbazyan | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 045 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Edmen Shahbazyan | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 260 | 1 463 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Jack Hermansson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Edmen Shahbazyan | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 40 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 92 | 100 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 42 | 141 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 213 | 1 304 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Jack Hermansson dominated the striking exchanges with 141 vs 42 total strikes, 55 vs 40 significant strikes, 55.0% vs 43.5% accuracy. Jack Hermansson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Edmen Shahbazyan | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:51 | 7:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 35 |
| Ground ELO | 1 134 | 1 381 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Jack Hermansson controlled Edmen Shahbazyan on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 7:11 of control time, 35 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Edmen Shahbazyan | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 294 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 143 | 1 351 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +19 |
Jack Hermansson demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jack Hermansson capitalized on this activity level, while Edmen Shahbazyan's 294-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Edmen Shahbazyan | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 072 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Jack Hermansson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Edmen Shahbazyan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Edmen Shahbazyan | Jack Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 044 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.