Ednaldo Oliveira vs Gabriel Gonzaga

January 13, 2012

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

967
(-33)
Ednaldo Oliveira
Winner: Gabriel Gonzaga
Submission
Round 1 • 3:22

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Ednaldo Oliveira-33
Gabriel Gonzaga+34
1116
(+34)
Gabriel Gonzaga

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Ednaldo Oliveira: -27Gabriel Gonzaga: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricEdnaldo OliveiraGabriel Gonzaga
Total UFC Fights113
Experience Gap-1212
Experience ELO9731 079
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Gabriel Gonzaga's 12-fight experience advantage (13 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gabriel Gonzaga for the expected result. Had Ednaldo Oliveira pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Ednaldo Oliveira: -19Gabriel Gonzaga: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricEdnaldo OliveiraGabriel Gonzaga
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9811 051
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Ednaldo Oliveira: -23Gabriel Gonzaga: +38

Performance Statistics

MetricEdnaldo OliveiraGabriel Gonzaga
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:223:22
Win Type ELO9771 210
ELO Change-23+38
💡

What Happened

Gabriel Gonzaga earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:22, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Ednaldo Oliveira: -47Gabriel Gonzaga: +47

Performance Statistics

MetricEdnaldo OliveiraGabriel Gonzaga
Significant Strikes Landed02
Significant Strikes Attempted147
Total Strikes Landed04
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9531 159
ELO Change-47+47
💡

What Happened

Virtually no striking took place with only 2 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Ednaldo Oliveira: -92Gabriel Gonzaga: +92

Performance Statistics

MetricEdnaldo OliveiraGabriel Gonzaga
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:001:21
Ground Strikes Landed01
Ground ELO9081 208
ELO Change-92+92
💡

What Happened

Gabriel Gonzaga dominated Ednaldo Oliveira on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:21 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Ednaldo Oliveira: -16Gabriel Gonzaga: +14

Performance Statistics

MetricEdnaldo OliveiraGabriel Gonzaga
Days Since Last FightN/A449
Activity ELO9841 107
ELO Change-16+14
💡

What Happened

Gabriel Gonzaga demonstrated extended layoff with 449 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Gabriel Gonzaga capitalized on this activity level, while Ednaldo Oliveira's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Ednaldo Oliveira: -18Gabriel Gonzaga: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricEdnaldo OliveiraGabriel Gonzaga
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9821 066
ELO Change-18+20
💡

What Happened

Gabriel Gonzaga started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ednaldo Oliveira is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Ednaldo Oliveira: -19Gabriel Gonzaga: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricEdnaldo OliveiraGabriel Gonzaga
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9811 051
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.