July 15, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Evan Dunham |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 182 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -29 |
Edson Barboza overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Evan Dunham.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Evan Dunham |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 108 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Evan Dunham |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:06 | 3:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 301 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -28 |
Edson Barboza earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:06, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Evan Dunham |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 27 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 281 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
Edson Barboza controlled the striking exchanges with 58.8% vs 37.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Edson Barboza capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Evan Dunham |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 140 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Evan Dunham |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 88 | 242 |
| Activity ELO | 1 254 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -19 |
Edson Barboza demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 88 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Edson Barboza capitalized on this activity level, while Evan Dunham's 242-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Evan Dunham |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 139 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
Edson Barboza started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Evan Dunham is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Evan Dunham |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 108 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

