Edson Barboza vs Evan Dunham

July 15, 2014

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1189
(+36)
Edson Barboza
Winner: Edson Barboza
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 3:06

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Edson Barboza+36
Evan Dunham-26
1074
(-26)
Evan Dunham

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +34Evan Dunham: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaEvan Dunham
Total UFC Fights1013
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO1 1821 088
ELO Change+34-29
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Evan Dunham.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +18Evan Dunham: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaEvan Dunham
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1081 026
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +61Evan Dunham: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaEvan Dunham
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:063:06
Win Type ELO1 3011 093
ELO Change+61-28
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:06, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +58Evan Dunham: -58

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaEvan Dunham
Significant Strikes Landed1010
Significant Strikes Attempted1727
Total Strikes Landed1010
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 2811 056
ELO Change+58-58
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza controlled the striking exchanges with 58.8% vs 37.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Edson Barboza capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +21Evan Dunham: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaEvan Dunham
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:030:02
Ground Strikes Landed02
Ground ELO1 1401 099
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +58Evan Dunham: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaEvan Dunham
Days Since Last Fight88242
Activity ELO1 2541 152
ELO Change+58-19
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 88 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Edson Barboza capitalized on this activity level, while Evan Dunham's 242-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +20Evan Dunham: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaEvan Dunham
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1391 054
ELO Change+20-18
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Evan Dunham is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +18Evan Dunham: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaEvan Dunham
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1081 025
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.