Edson Barboza vs Gilbert Melendez

July 22, 2016

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1225
(+15)
Edson Barboza
Winner: Edson Barboza
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Edson Barboza+15
Gilbert Melendez-14
997
(-14)
Gilbert Melendez

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +17Gilbert Melendez: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaGilbert Melendez
Total UFC Fights165
Experience Gap11-11
Experience ELO1 2271 017
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza's 11-fight experience advantage (16 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Edson Barboza for the expected result. Had Gilbert Melendez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +13Gilbert Melendez: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaGilbert Melendez
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 138975
ELO Change+13-13
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +14Gilbert Melendez: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaGilbert Melendez
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3431 032
ELO Change+14-14
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What Happened

Edson Barboza earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +11Gilbert Melendez: -11

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaGilbert Melendez
Significant Strikes Landed5639
Significant Strikes Attempted136129
Total Strikes Landed6342
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 3201 024
ELO Change+11-11
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza controlled the striking exchanges with 63 vs 42 total strikes, 56 vs 39 significant strikes, 41.2% vs 30.2% accuracy. Edson Barboza capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +26Gilbert Melendez: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaGilbert Melendez
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted15
Ground Control Time0:380:04
Ground Strikes Landed42
Ground ELO1 161991
ELO Change+26-26
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What Happened

Edson Barboza edged out Gilbert Melendez on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:38 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +17Gilbert Melendez: -7

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaGilbert Melendez
Days Since Last Fight91406
Activity ELO1 309997
ELO Change+17-7
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Edson Barboza capitalized on this activity level, while Gilbert Melendez's 406-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +14Gilbert Melendez: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaGilbert Melendez
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 172977
ELO Change+14-12
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What Happened

Edson Barboza extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gilbert Melendez is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +13Gilbert Melendez: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaGilbert Melendez
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 133964
ELO Change+13-13
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.