April 20, 2018
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 19 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 201 | 1 265 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +46 |
Kevin Lee overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (13 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Edson Barboza.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 115 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 2:18 | 2:18 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 368 | 1 421 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Kevin Lee gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 5, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 142 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 106 | 241 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 64 | 233 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 278 | 1 302 |
| ELO Change | -69 | +69 |
Kevin Lee dominated the striking exchanges with 233 vs 64 total strikes, 142 vs 51 significant strikes, 58.9% vs 48.1% accuracy. Kevin Lee capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:10 | 15:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 96 |
| Ground ELO | 1 170 | 1 512 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Kevin Lee dominated Edson Barboza on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 15:01 of control time, 96 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 196 |
| Activity ELO | 1 295 | 1 354 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Kevin Lee demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Kevin Lee capitalized on this activity level, while Edson Barboza's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 162 | 1 213 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Kevin Lee started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Edson Barboza is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 111 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.