December 29, 2017
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 234 | 1 349 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +44 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Edson Barboza.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 137 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 393 | 1 477 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 89 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 76 | 177 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 25 | 154 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 347 | 1 491 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov dominated the striking exchanges with 154 vs 25 total strikes, 89 vs 25 significant strikes, 50.3% vs 32.9% accuracy. Khabib Nurmagomedov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 13 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 10:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 55 |
| Ground ELO | 1 209 | 1 567 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov dominated Edson Barboza on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 10:32 of control time, 55 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 294 | 413 |
| Activity ELO | 1 315 | 1 271 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +24 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov demonstrated extended layoff with 413 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Khabib Nurmagomedov capitalized on this activity level, while Edson Barboza's 294-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 9 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 183 | 1 335 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +66 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov continued building serious momentum with a 9-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Edson Barboza's now at 0.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 133 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.