Edson Barboza vs Makwan Amirkhani

October 9, 2020

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1193
(+30)
Edson Barboza
Winner: Edson Barboza
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Edson Barboza+30
Makwan Amirkhani-28
1098
(-28)
Makwan Amirkhani

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +33Makwan Amirkhani: -33

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaMakwan Amirkhani
Total UFC Fights249
Experience Gap15-15
Experience ELO1 1641 113
ELO Change+33-33
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza's 15-fight experience advantage (24 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Edson Barboza for the expected result. Had Makwan Amirkhani pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +21Makwan Amirkhani: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaMakwan Amirkhani
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0851 051
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +26Makwan Amirkhani: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaMakwan Amirkhani
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 4001 212
ELO Change+26-26
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What Happened

Edson Barboza earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +54Makwan Amirkhani: -54

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaMakwan Amirkhani
Significant Strikes Landed3211
Significant Strikes Attempted7439
Total Strikes Landed3425
Knockdowns Scored20
Striking ELO1 261975
ELO Change+54-54
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza dominated the striking exchanges with 32 vs 11 significant strikes, 43.2% vs 28.2% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Edson Barboza capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +28Makwan Amirkhani: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaMakwan Amirkhani
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted06
Ground Control Time1:383:13
Ground Strikes Landed11
Ground ELO1 1551 225
ELO Change+28-28
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza landed 2 knockdowns followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +27Makwan Amirkhani: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaMakwan Amirkhani
Days Since Last Fight14791
Activity ELO1 2621 091
ELO Change+27-13
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Edson Barboza capitalized on this activity level, while Makwan Amirkhani's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +22Makwan Amirkhani: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaMakwan Amirkhani
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1311 070
ELO Change+22-20
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What Happened

Edson Barboza started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Makwan Amirkhani is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +22Makwan Amirkhani: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaMakwan Amirkhani
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0821 050
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.