October 9, 2020
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Makwan Amirkhani |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 24 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 15 | -15 |
| Experience ELO | 1 164 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Edson Barboza's 15-fight experience advantage (24 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Edson Barboza for the expected result. Had Makwan Amirkhani pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Makwan Amirkhani |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 085 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Makwan Amirkhani |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 400 | 1 212 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Edson Barboza earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Makwan Amirkhani |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 74 | 39 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 34 | 25 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 261 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Edson Barboza dominated the striking exchanges with 32 vs 11 significant strikes, 43.2% vs 28.2% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Edson Barboza capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Makwan Amirkhani |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:38 | 3:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 155 | 1 225 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Edson Barboza landed 2 knockdowns followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Makwan Amirkhani |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 1 262 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -13 |
Edson Barboza demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Edson Barboza capitalized on this activity level, while Makwan Amirkhani's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Makwan Amirkhani |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 131 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Edson Barboza started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Makwan Amirkhani is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Makwan Amirkhani |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 082 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

