November 19, 2010
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Mike Lullo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Mike Lullo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Mike Lullo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:26 | 0:26 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 084 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -42 |
Edson Barboza gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Mike Lullo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 43 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 69 | 45 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 44 | 68 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 133 | 867 |
| ELO Change | +133 | -133 |
Edson Barboza dominated the striking exchanges with 44 vs 68 total strikes, 43 vs 12 significant strikes, 62.3% vs 26.7% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Edson Barboza capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Mike Lullo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:12 | 0:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 044 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Edson Barboza edged out Mike Lullo on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 5:12 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Mike Lullo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Edson Barboza demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Edson Barboza capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Lullo's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Mike Lullo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Edson Barboza started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Lullo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Mike Lullo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

