Edson Barboza vs Paul Felder

July 24, 2015

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1201
(+21)
Edson Barboza
Winner: Edson Barboza
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Edson Barboza+21
Paul Felder-20
1079
(-20)
Paul Felder

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +27Paul Felder: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaPaul Felder
Total UFC Fights133
Experience Gap10-10
Experience ELO1 2041 101
ELO Change+27-27
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza's 10-fight experience advantage (13 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Edson Barboza for the expected result. Had Paul Felder pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +18Paul Felder: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaPaul Felder
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1201 027
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +26Paul Felder: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaPaul Felder
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3091 118
ELO Change+26-26
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +20Paul Felder: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaPaul Felder
Significant Strikes Landed6447
Significant Strikes Attempted135150
Total Strikes Landed6450
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2891 140
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza controlled the striking exchanges with 64 vs 47 significant strikes, 47.4% vs 31.3% accuracy. Edson Barboza capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +21Paul Felder: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaPaul Felder
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted11
Ground Control Time0:000:18
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 1311 097
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +21Paul Felder: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaPaul Felder
Days Since Last Fight153203
Activity ELO1 2791 087
ELO Change+21-12
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza demonstrated solid activity levels with 153 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Edson Barboza capitalized on this activity level, while Paul Felder's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +18Paul Felder: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaPaul Felder
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1541 038
ELO Change+18-16
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paul Felder is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +18Paul Felder: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaPaul Felder
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1201 027
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.