July 24, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 204 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Edson Barboza's 10-fight experience advantage (13 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Edson Barboza for the expected result. Had Paul Felder pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 120 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 309 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Edson Barboza earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 64 | 47 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 135 | 150 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 64 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 289 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Edson Barboza controlled the striking exchanges with 64 vs 47 significant strikes, 47.4% vs 31.3% accuracy. Edson Barboza capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 131 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 153 | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 1 279 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -12 |
Edson Barboza demonstrated solid activity levels with 153 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Edson Barboza capitalized on this activity level, while Paul Felder's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 154 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -16 |
Edson Barboza started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paul Felder is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 120 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

