Edson Barboza vs Rafaello Oliveira

July 5, 2013

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1149
(+24)
Edson Barboza
Winner: Edson Barboza
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 1:44

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Edson Barboza+24
Rafaello Oliveira-19
965
(-19)
Rafaello Oliveira

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +19Rafaello Oliveira: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaRafaello Oliveira
Total UFC Fights77
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 138965
ELO Change+19-13
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +15Rafaello Oliveira: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaRafaello Oliveira
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 091956
ELO Change+15-15
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +35Rafaello Oliveira: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaRafaello Oliveira
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:441:44
Win Type ELO1 256964
ELO Change+35-17
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +47Rafaello Oliveira: -47

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaRafaello Oliveira
Significant Strikes Landed4919
Significant Strikes Attempted8942
Total Strikes Landed4919
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 228909
ELO Change+47-47
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza controlled the striking exchanges with 49 vs 19 total strikes, 49 vs 19 significant strikes, 55.1% vs 45.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Edson Barboza capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +18Rafaello Oliveira: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaRafaello Oliveira
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted05
Ground Control Time0:130:02
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 1041 006
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +23Rafaello Oliveira: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaRafaello Oliveira
Days Since Last Fight168364
Activity ELO1 168999
ELO Change+23-13
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Edson Barboza capitalized on this activity level, while Rafaello Oliveira's 364-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +17Rafaello Oliveira: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaRafaello Oliveira
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 114964
ELO Change+17-14
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rafaello Oliveira is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Edson Barboza: +15Rafaello Oliveira: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricEdson BarbozaRafaello Oliveira
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 091956
ELO Change+15-15
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.