May 14, 2021
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 25 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 16 | -16 |
| Experience ELO | 1 197 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Edson Barboza's 16-fight experience advantage (25 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Edson Barboza for the expected result. Had Shane Burgos pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 106 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:16 | 1:16 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 449 | 1 222 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -25 |
Edson Barboza gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 98 | 80 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 191 | 180 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 98 | 80 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 341 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -80 |
Edson Barboza controlled the striking exchanges with 98 vs 80 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Edson Barboza capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 200 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 217 | 329 |
| Activity ELO | 1 280 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -15 |
Edson Barboza demonstrated standard activity with 217 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Edson Barboza capitalized on this activity level, while Shane Burgos's 329-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 154 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Edson Barboza extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Shane Burgos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Edson Barboza | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 103 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.