November 10, 2006
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Edwin DeWees | Jorge Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 925 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Jorge Rivera's 3-fight experience advantage (6 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jorge Rivera for the expected result. Had Edwin DeWees pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Edwin DeWees | Jorge Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 943 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Edwin DeWees | Jorge Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:37 | 2:37 |
| Win Type ELO | 913 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +79 |
Jorge Rivera earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:37, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Edwin DeWees | Jorge Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 25 | 43 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 31 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 822 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -94 | +94 |
Jorge Rivera controlled the striking exchanges with 31 vs 7 total strikes, 24 vs 6 significant strikes, 55.8% vs 24.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jorge Rivera capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Edwin DeWees | Jorge Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:15 | 0:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 835 | 967 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Jorge Rivera landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Edwin DeWees | Jorge Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 405 | 299 |
| Activity ELO | 946 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Jorge Rivera demonstrated standard activity with 299 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Jorge Rivera capitalized on this activity level, while Edwin DeWees's 405-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Edwin DeWees | Jorge Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 945 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Jorge Rivera started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Edwin DeWees is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Edwin DeWees | Jorge Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 943 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.