February 1, 2013
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Edwin Figueroa | Francisco Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 012 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Edwin Figueroa | Francisco Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 997 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Edwin Figueroa | Francisco Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:20 | 4:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 000 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +98 |
Francisco Rivera gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Edwin Figueroa | Francisco Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 51 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 97 | 127 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 36 | 54 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 999 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | -134 | +134 |
Francisco Rivera controlled the striking exchanges with 51 vs 24 significant strikes, 40.2% vs 24.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Francisco Rivera capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Edwin Figueroa | Francisco Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:08 | 1:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 958 | 921 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Francisco Rivera landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Edwin Figueroa | Francisco Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 364 | 197 |
| Activity ELO | 1 031 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +30 |
Francisco Rivera demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Francisco Rivera capitalized on this activity level, while Edwin Figueroa's 364-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Edwin Figueroa | Francisco Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 003 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +25 |
Francisco Rivera started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Edwin Figueroa is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Edwin Figueroa | Francisco Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 997 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.