January 10, 2010
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Evan Dunham |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 050 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Evan Dunham |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 023 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Evan Dunham |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:59 | 1:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 121 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +74 |
Evan Dunham earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 1:59, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Efrain Escudero was submitted.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Evan Dunham |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 74 | 80 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 38 | 48 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 106 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Efrain Escudero controlled the striking through 1 knockdown. However, since Efrain Escudero lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Evan Dunham's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Evan Dunham |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:52 | 3:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 972 | 1 254 |
| ELO Change | -200 | +200 |
Evan Dunham dominated Efrain Escudero on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 3:30 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Evan Dunham |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 115 | 136 |
| Activity ELO | 1 027 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +42 |
Evan Dunham demonstrated solid activity levels with 136 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Evan Dunham capitalized on this activity level, while Efrain Escudero's 115-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Evan Dunham |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 031 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +28 |
Evan Dunham extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Efrain Escudero is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Evan Dunham |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.