April 22, 2016
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 963 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +32 |
Kevin Lee overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Efrain Escudero.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 964 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 029 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Kevin Lee earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 70 | 64 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 114 | 160 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 96 | 99 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 044 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Efrain Escudero controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (70 vs 64), superior accuracy (61.4% vs 40.0%). However, since Efrain Escudero lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Kevin Lee's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:13 | 4:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 941 | 1 207 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Kevin Lee controlled Efrain Escudero on the ground with 1 takedown, 4:16 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 035 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +34 |
Kevin Lee demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kevin Lee capitalized on this activity level, while Efrain Escudero's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +19 |
Kevin Lee started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Efrain Escudero is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 964 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.