April 20, 2012
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Mac Danzig |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 982 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Mac Danzig's 3-fight experience advantage (10 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mac Danzig for the expected result. Had Efrain Escudero pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Mac Danzig |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 977 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Mac Danzig |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 024 | 1 170 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Mac Danzig earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Mac Danzig |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 56 | 67 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 133 | 119 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 107 | 130 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 027 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Mac Danzig edged the striking exchanges with 130 vs 107 total strikes, 67 vs 56 significant strikes, 56.3% vs 42.1% accuracy. Mac Danzig capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Mac Danzig |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:00 | 5:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 877 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Mac Danzig edged out Efrain Escudero on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 5:34 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Mac Danzig |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 113 | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 1 004 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Mac Danzig demonstrated standard activity with 203 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Mac Danzig capitalized on this activity level, while Efrain Escudero's 113-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Mac Danzig |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 987 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Mac Danzig started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Efrain Escudero is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Mac Danzig |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 977 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.