February 13, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Rodrigo de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 988 | 937 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Efrain Escudero's 7-fight experience advantage (9 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Efrain Escudero for the expected result. Had Rodrigo de Lima pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Rodrigo de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Rodrigo de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 026 | 926 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Efrain Escudero earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Rodrigo de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 94 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 129 | 72 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 194 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 076 | 840 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -70 |
Efrain Escudero dominated the striking exchanges with 194 vs 32 total strikes, 94 vs 24 significant strikes, 72.9% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Efrain Escudero capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Rodrigo de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:11 | 3:47 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 34 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 927 | 879 |
| ELO Change | +88 | -88 |
Efrain Escudero controlled Rodrigo de Lima on the ground with 2 takedowns, 6:11 of control time, 34 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Rodrigo de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 232 |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -21 |
Efrain Escudero demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Efrain Escudero capitalized on this activity level, while Rodrigo de Lima's 232-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Rodrigo de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 992 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Efrain Escudero started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rodrigo de Lima is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Efrain Escudero | Rodrigo de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

