August 10, 2012
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Eiji Mitsuoka | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 946 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Nik Lentz's 8-fight experience advantage (10 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nik Lentz for the expected result. Had Eiji Mitsuoka pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Eiji Mitsuoka | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 961 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Eiji Mitsuoka | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:45 | 3:45 |
| Win Type ELO | 944 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +54 |
Nik Lentz earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:45, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Eiji Mitsuoka | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 10 | 37 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 865 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -72 | +72 |
Nik Lentz dominated the striking exchanges with 59 vs 6 total strikes, 33 vs 5 significant strikes, 89.2% vs 50.0% accuracy. Nik Lentz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Eiji Mitsuoka | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:08 | 2:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 18 |
| Ground ELO | 912 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Nik Lentz dominated Eiji Mitsuoka on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 2:54 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Eiji Mitsuoka | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 196 |
| Activity ELO | 970 | 1 180 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +13 |
Nik Lentz demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Nik Lentz capitalized on this activity level, while Eiji Mitsuoka's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Eiji Mitsuoka | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 963 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +17 |
Nik Lentz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Eiji Mitsuoka is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Eiji Mitsuoka | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 961 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.