November 30, 2018
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Elias Garcia | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 906 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Elias Garcia | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 958 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Elias Garcia | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 917 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Kai Kara-France earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Elias Garcia | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 86 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 73 | 178 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 157 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 875 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -95 | +95 |
Kai Kara-France dominated the striking exchanges with 157 vs 20 total strikes, 86 vs 16 significant strikes, 48.3% vs 21.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Kai Kara-France capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Elias Garcia | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:28 | 9:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 53 |
| Ground ELO | 774 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Kai Kara-France controlled Elias Garcia on the ground with 0 takedowns, 9:30 of control time, 53 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Elias Garcia | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 958 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Kai Kara-France demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Kai Kara-France capitalized on this activity level, while Elias Garcia's 141-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Elias Garcia | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 958 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Kai Kara-France started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Elias Garcia is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Elias Garcia | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 958 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.