December 7, 2018
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Eryk Anders |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 193 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Elias Theodorou's 4-fight experience advantage (10 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Elias Theodorou for the expected result. Had Eryk Anders pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Eryk Anders |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 116 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Eryk Anders |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 260 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Elias Theodorou receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Eryk Anders |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 92 | 65 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 211 | 133 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 102 | 66 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 273 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Elias Theodorou controlled the striking exchanges with 102 vs 66 total strikes, 92 vs 65 significant strikes. Elias Theodorou capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Eryk Anders |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:36 | 0:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 219 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Elias Theodorou did not secure a significant ground advantage against Eryk Anders on the ground with 0:36 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Eryk Anders |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 196 | 78 |
| Activity ELO | 1 204 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -14 |
Elias Theodorou demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Elias Theodorou capitalized on this activity level, while Eryk Anders's 78-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Eryk Anders |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 145 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -16 |
Elias Theodorou extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Eryk Anders is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Eryk Anders |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 115 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

