March 13, 2015
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Roger Narvaez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 082 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -18 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Roger Narvaez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 060 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Roger Narvaez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:07 | 4:07 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 166 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -26 |
Elias Theodorou gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Roger Narvaez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 113 | 49 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 55 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 179 | 918 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Elias Theodorou controlled the striking exchanges with 55 vs 17 total strikes, 39 vs 16 significant strikes. Elias Theodorou capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Roger Narvaez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:14 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 183 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Elias Theodorou controlled Roger Narvaez on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:14 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Roger Narvaez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 090 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -19 |
Elias Theodorou demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Elias Theodorou capitalized on this activity level, while Roger Narvaez's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Roger Narvaez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 071 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -18 |
Elias Theodorou extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Roger Narvaez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Roger Narvaez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 060 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.