June 17, 2016
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Sam Alvey |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 082 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Sam Alvey |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 057 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Sam Alvey |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 184 | 1 184 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Elias Theodorou earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Sam Alvey |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 141 | 43 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 87 | 30 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 190 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Elias Theodorou dominated the striking exchanges with 87 vs 30 total strikes, 37 vs 24 significant strikes, 26.2% vs 55.8% accuracy. Elias Theodorou capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Sam Alvey |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:38 | 1:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 125 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Elias Theodorou did not secure a significant ground advantage against Sam Alvey on the ground with 1:38 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Sam Alvey |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 191 | 315 |
| Activity ELO | 1 099 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -26 |
Elias Theodorou demonstrated standard activity with 191 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Elias Theodorou capitalized on this activity level, while Sam Alvey's 315-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Sam Alvey |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 071 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Elias Theodorou started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sam Alvey is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Sam Alvey |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 057 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.