May 26, 2018
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 167 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (9 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 099 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 252 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Elias Theodorou earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 77 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 138 | 81 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 140 | 82 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 252 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Elias Theodorou dominated the striking exchanges with 140 vs 82 total strikes, 77 vs 41 significant strikes. Elias Theodorou capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:01 | 4:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 203 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Elias Theodorou did not secure a significant ground advantage against Trevor Smith on the ground with 0 takedowns, 4:01 of control time, 3 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 190 | 364 |
| Activity ELO | 1 186 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Elias Theodorou demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Elias Theodorou capitalized on this activity level, while Trevor Smith's 364-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 124 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -18 |
Elias Theodorou extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Trevor Smith is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Elias Theodorou | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 098 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.