September 18, 2009
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Eliot Marshall | Jason Brilz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 085 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -24 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Eliot Marshall | Jason Brilz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 060 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Eliot Marshall | Jason Brilz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 119 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Eliot Marshall receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Eliot Marshall | Jason Brilz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 117 | 105 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 64 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 107 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Jason Brilz lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Eliot Marshall's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Eliot Marshall | Jason Brilz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 16 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:24 | 3:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 155 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Eliot Marshall did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jason Brilz on the ground with 0:24 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Eliot Marshall | Jason Brilz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 196 |
| Activity ELO | 1 095 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -21 |
Eliot Marshall demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Eliot Marshall capitalized on this activity level, while Jason Brilz's 196-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Eliot Marshall | Jason Brilz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 073 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -21 |
Eliot Marshall extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jason Brilz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Eliot Marshall | Jason Brilz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 060 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.