March 18, 2011
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Eliot Marshall | Luiz Cane |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 014 | 962 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Luiz Cane's 2-fight experience advantage (7 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Luiz Cane for the expected result. Had Eliot Marshall pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Eliot Marshall | Luiz Cane |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 015 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Eliot Marshall | Luiz Cane |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:15 | 2:15 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 066 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +98 |
Luiz Cane earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:15, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Eliot Marshall | Luiz Cane |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 29 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 63 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 33 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 853 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | -220 | +220 |
Luiz Cane controlled the striking exchanges with 33 vs 2 total strikes, 29 vs 2 significant strikes, 46.0% vs 28.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Luiz Cane capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Eliot Marshall | Luiz Cane |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:59 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 24 |
| Ground ELO | 1 052 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -69 | +69 |
Luiz Cane controlled Eliot Marshall on the ground with 0:59 of control time, 24 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Eliot Marshall | Luiz Cane |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 363 | 295 |
| Activity ELO | 1 051 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Luiz Cane demonstrated standard activity with 295 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Luiz Cane capitalized on this activity level, while Eliot Marshall's 363-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Eliot Marshall | Luiz Cane |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +26 |
Luiz Cane started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Eliot Marshall is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Eliot Marshall | Luiz Cane |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 015 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.