March 20, 2010
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Eliot Marshall | Vladimir Matyushenko |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 057 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Vladimir Matyushenko's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Vladimir Matyushenko for the expected result. Had Eliot Marshall pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Eliot Marshall | Vladimir Matyushenko |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 038 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Eliot Marshall | Vladimir Matyushenko |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 110 | 1 170 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Vladimir Matyushenko receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Eliot Marshall | Vladimir Matyushenko |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 97 | 91 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 073 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Vladimir Matyushenko edged the striking exchanges with 28 vs 19 significant strikes, 30.8% vs 19.6% accuracy. Vladimir Matyushenko capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Eliot Marshall | Vladimir Matyushenko |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 121 | 1 218 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Vladimir Matyushenko edged out Eliot Marshall on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:27 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Eliot Marshall | Vladimir Matyushenko |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 184 | 184 |
| Activity ELO | 1 074 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Vladimir Matyushenko demonstrated standard activity with 184 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Vladimir Matyushenko capitalized on this activity level, while Eliot Marshall's 184-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Eliot Marshall | Vladimir Matyushenko |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 051 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +26 |
Vladimir Matyushenko extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Eliot Marshall is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Eliot Marshall | Vladimir Matyushenko |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 038 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

