February 10, 2023
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Elise Reed | Loma Lookboonmee |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 983 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Loma Lookboonmee's 2-fight experience advantage (7 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Loma Lookboonmee for the expected result. Had Elise Reed pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Elise Reed | Loma Lookboonmee |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 983 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Elise Reed | Loma Lookboonmee |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:44 | 0:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 944 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +52 |
Loma Lookboonmee earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 0:44, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Elise Reed was submitted.
| Metric | Elise Reed | Loma Lookboonmee |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 29 | 27 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 41 | 22 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 923 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
Elise Reed controlled the striking through superior volume (41 vs 22 total strikes). However, since Elise Reed lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Loma Lookboonmee's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Elise Reed | Loma Lookboonmee |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:59 | 0:36 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 901 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Loma Lookboonmee controlled Elise Reed on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 0:36 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Elise Reed | Loma Lookboonmee |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +41 |
Loma Lookboonmee demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Loma Lookboonmee capitalized on this activity level, while Elise Reed's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Elise Reed | Loma Lookboonmee |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 988 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Loma Lookboonmee extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Elise Reed is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Elise Reed | Loma Lookboonmee |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 983 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

