September 15, 2023
Women's Strawweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Elise Reed | Loopy Godinez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 989 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Loopy Godinez's 2-fight experience advantage (9 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Loopy Godinez for the expected result. Had Elise Reed pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Elise Reed | Loopy Godinez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 984 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Elise Reed | Loopy Godinez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:38 | 3:38 |
| Win Type ELO | 960 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +45 |
Loopy Godinez earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:38, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Elise Reed was submitted.
| Metric | Elise Reed | Loopy Godinez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 13 | 31 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 34 | 37 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 909 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Loopy Godinez controlled the striking exchanges with 21 vs 3 significant strikes, 67.7% vs 23.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Loopy Godinez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Elise Reed | Loopy Godinez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:22 | 6:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 855 | 1 259 |
| ELO Change | -68 | +68 |
Loopy Godinez dominated Elise Reed on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 6:29 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Elise Reed | Loopy Godinez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 057 | 1 247 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +32 |
Loopy Godinez demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Loopy Godinez capitalized on this activity level, while Elise Reed's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Elise Reed | Loopy Godinez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 992 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +24 |
Loopy Godinez extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Elise Reed is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Elise Reed | Loopy Godinez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 984 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

