August 19, 2016
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Elizabeth Phillips | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 931 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Raquel Pennington's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Raquel Pennington for the expected result. Had Elizabeth Phillips pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Elizabeth Phillips | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 964 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Elizabeth Phillips | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 992 | 1 180 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Raquel Pennington earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Elizabeth Phillips | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 34 | 50 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 34 | 81 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 941 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Raquel Pennington controlled the striking exchanges with 81 vs 34 total strikes, 33 vs 15 significant strikes, 66.0% vs 44.1% accuracy. Raquel Pennington capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Elizabeth Phillips | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:39 | 5:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 985 | 1 203 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Raquel Pennington controlled Elizabeth Phillips on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 5:05 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Elizabeth Phillips | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 392 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 965 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +32 |
Raquel Pennington demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Raquel Pennington capitalized on this activity level, while Elizabeth Phillips's 392-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Elizabeth Phillips | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 966 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +22 |
Raquel Pennington extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Elizabeth Phillips is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Elizabeth Phillips | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 964 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.