August 30, 2019
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Li Jingliang |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 179 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Li Jingliang's 3-fight experience advantage (12 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Li Jingliang for the expected result. Had Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Li Jingliang |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 097 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Li Jingliang |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:51 | 4:51 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 316 | 1 360 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +113 |
Li Jingliang gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Li Jingliang |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 54 | 59 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 160 | 128 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 55 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 3 |
| Striking ELO | 1 153 | 1 401 |
| ELO Change | -230 | +230 |
Li Jingliang dominated the striking exchanges with 59 vs 54 significant strikes, 46.1% vs 33.8% accuracy, including 3 devastating knockdowns. Li Jingliang capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Li Jingliang |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:24 | 0:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 188 | 1 212 |
| ELO Change | -94 | +94 |
Li Jingliang landed 3 knockdowns followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Li Jingliang |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 280 |
| Activity ELO | 1 177 | 1 170 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Li Jingliang demonstrated standard activity with 280 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Li Jingliang capitalized on this activity level, while Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Li Jingliang |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 179 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +35 |
Li Jingliang extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Li Jingliang |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 097 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.