July 21, 2017
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Lyman Good |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 098 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos for the expected result. Had Lyman Good pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Lyman Good |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 044 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Lyman Good |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 165 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Lyman Good |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 83 | 75 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 219 | 165 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 84 | 89 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 116 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos edged the striking exchanges with 83 vs 75 significant strikes. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Lyman Good |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:12 | 0:37 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 030 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos did not secure a significant ground advantage against Lyman Good on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:12 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Lyman Good |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 294 | 738 |
| Activity ELO | 1 062 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos demonstrated standard activity with 294 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Lyman Good's 738-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Lyman Good |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 057 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -21 |
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Lyman Good is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Lyman Good |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 044 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.