May 31, 2024
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 176 | 1 291 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Randy Brown's 3-fight experience advantage (18 vs 15 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Randy Brown for the expected result. Had Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 098 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 301 | 1 452 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Randy Brown earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 67 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 76 | 141 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 42 | 89 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 173 | 1 381 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Randy Brown controlled the striking exchanges with 89 vs 42 total strikes, 67 vs 26 significant strikes, 47.5% vs 34.2% accuracy. Randy Brown capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:33 | 0:42 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 205 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Randy Brown did not secure a significant ground advantage against Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:42 of control time, 4 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 210 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 175 | 1 326 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +38 |
Randy Brown demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Randy Brown capitalized on this activity level, while Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos's 210-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 167 | 1 212 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +28 |
Randy Brown extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 098 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

