June 30, 2023
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Elves Brener | Guram Kutateladze |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 124 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Elves Brener | Guram Kutateladze |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 044 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Elves Brener | Guram Kutateladze |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:17 | 3:17 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 097 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +81 | -41 |
Elves Brener gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Elves Brener | Guram Kutateladze |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 65 | 85 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 132 | 163 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 93 | 99 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 118 | 953 |
| ELO Change | +85 | -85 |
Guram Kutateladze controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (85 vs 65). However, since Guram Kutateladze lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Elves Brener's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Elves Brener | Guram Kutateladze |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:48 | 2:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 063 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Elves Brener landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Elves Brener | Guram Kutateladze |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 378 |
| Activity ELO | 1 066 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -20 |
Elves Brener demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Elves Brener capitalized on this activity level, while Guram Kutateladze's 378-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Elves Brener | Guram Kutateladze |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 052 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Elves Brener extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Guram Kutateladze is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Elves Brener | Guram Kutateladze |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 044 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.