November 3, 2023
Catch Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Elves Brener | Kaynan Kruschewsky |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 145 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Elves Brener's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Elves Brener for the expected result. Had Kaynan Kruschewsky pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Elves Brener | Kaynan Kruschewsky |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 062 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Elves Brener | Kaynan Kruschewsky |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:01 | 4:01 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 163 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -31 |
Elves Brener earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:01, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Elves Brener | Kaynan Kruschewsky |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 33 | 31 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 16 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 187 | 931 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Elves Brener controlled the striking exchanges with 16 vs 8 significant strikes, 48.5% vs 25.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Elves Brener capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Elves Brener | Kaynan Kruschewsky |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 080 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Elves Brener | Kaynan Kruschewsky |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 127 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 100 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -17 |
Elves Brener demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Elves Brener capitalized on this activity level, while Kaynan Kruschewsky's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Elves Brener | Kaynan Kruschewsky |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 075 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -18 |
Elves Brener extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kaynan Kruschewsky is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Elves Brener | Kaynan Kruschewsky |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 062 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

