May 3, 2024
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Elves Brener | Myktybek Orolbai |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 109 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +41 |
Myktybek Orolbai overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Elves Brener.
| Metric | Elves Brener | Myktybek Orolbai |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 039 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Elves Brener | Myktybek Orolbai |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 114 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
Myktybek Orolbai earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Elves Brener | Myktybek Orolbai |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 65 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 91 | 119 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 79 | 83 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 106 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -81 | +81 |
Myktybek Orolbai controlled the striking exchanges with 65 vs 48 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Myktybek Orolbai capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Elves Brener | Myktybek Orolbai |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 17 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:55 | 7:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 30 |
| Ground ELO | 1 029 | 1 245 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Myktybek Orolbai controlled Elves Brener on the ground with 5 vs 3 takedowns, 7:12 of control time, 30 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Elves Brener | Myktybek Orolbai |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 074 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +45 |
Myktybek Orolbai demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Myktybek Orolbai capitalized on this activity level, while Elves Brener's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Elves Brener | Myktybek Orolbai |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 051 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +29 |
Myktybek Orolbai extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Elves Brener is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Elves Brener | Myktybek Orolbai |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 039 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.