January 16, 2016
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Elvis Mutapcic | Francimar Barroso |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 971 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Francimar Barroso's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Francimar Barroso for the expected result. Had Elvis Mutapcic pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Elvis Mutapcic | Francimar Barroso |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Elvis Mutapcic | Francimar Barroso |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 968 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Francimar Barroso earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Elvis Mutapcic | Francimar Barroso |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 57 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 120 | 95 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 65 | 90 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 973 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Francimar Barroso controlled the striking exchanges with 90 vs 65 total strikes, 57 vs 38 significant strikes, 60.0% vs 31.7% accuracy. Francimar Barroso capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Elvis Mutapcic | Francimar Barroso |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 3:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 969 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Francimar Barroso edged out Elvis Mutapcic on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:14 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Elvis Mutapcic | Francimar Barroso |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 233 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Francimar Barroso demonstrated standard activity with 233 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Francimar Barroso capitalized on this activity level, while Elvis Mutapcic's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Elvis Mutapcic | Francimar Barroso |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +23 |
Francimar Barroso extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Elvis Mutapcic is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Elvis Mutapcic | Francimar Barroso |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.