March 21, 2002
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Elvis Sinosic | Evan Tanner |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 031 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Evan Tanner's 3-fight experience advantage (6 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Evan Tanner for the expected result. Had Elvis Sinosic pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Elvis Sinosic | Evan Tanner |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 995 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Elvis Sinosic | Evan Tanner |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:06 | 2:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 078 | 1 238 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Evan Tanner earned an early finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 1 at 2:06, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Elvis Sinosic | Evan Tanner |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 8 | 13 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 986 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Evan Tanner slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Evan Tanner capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Elvis Sinosic | Evan Tanner |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:43 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 999 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Evan Tanner controlled Elvis Sinosic on the ground with 1:43 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Elvis Sinosic | Evan Tanner |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 267 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 005 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +28 |
Evan Tanner demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Evan Tanner capitalized on this activity level, while Elvis Sinosic's 267-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Elvis Sinosic | Evan Tanner |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 995 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +21 |
Evan Tanner extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Elvis Sinosic is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Elvis Sinosic | Evan Tanner |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 989 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.