February 21, 2020
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Emil Meek | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 031 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Jake Matthews's 9-fight experience advantage (13 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jake Matthews for the expected result. Had Emil Meek pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Emil Meek | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 973 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Emil Meek | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 994 | 1 229 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Jake Matthews earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Emil Meek | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 50 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 118 | 73 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 85 | 71 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 995 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Emil Meek controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (50 vs 33). However, since Emil Meek lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jake Matthews's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Emil Meek | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 8:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 978 | 1 217 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Jake Matthews landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Emil Meek | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 581 | 141 |
| Activity ELO | 985 | 1 193 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +22 |
Jake Matthews demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jake Matthews capitalized on this activity level, while Emil Meek's 581-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Emil Meek | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +18 |
Jake Matthews extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Emil Meek is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Emil Meek | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 973 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.