May 17, 2024
Women's Strawweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Emily Ducote | Vanessa Demopoulos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 013 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Vanessa Demopoulos's 2-fight experience advantage (7 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Vanessa Demopoulos for the expected result. Had Emily Ducote pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Emily Ducote | Vanessa Demopoulos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Emily Ducote | Vanessa Demopoulos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 995 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Vanessa Demopoulos receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Emily Ducote | Vanessa Demopoulos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 143 | 109 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 214 | 293 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 147 | 126 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 966 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Emily Ducote controlled the striking through superior volume (147 vs 126 total strikes), significant strike advantage (143 vs 109), superior accuracy (66.8% vs 37.2%). However, since Emily Ducote lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Vanessa Demopoulos's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Emily Ducote | Vanessa Demopoulos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:46 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 993 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Vanessa Demopoulos did not secure a significant ground advantage against Emily Ducote on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Emily Ducote | Vanessa Demopoulos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 217 | 224 |
| Activity ELO | 1 023 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +21 |
Vanessa Demopoulos demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Vanessa Demopoulos capitalized on this activity level, while Emily Ducote's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Emily Ducote | Vanessa Demopoulos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 984 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +21 |
Vanessa Demopoulos extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Emily Ducote is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Emily Ducote | Vanessa Demopoulos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 977 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

