Emily Ducote vs Vanessa Demopoulos

May 17, 2024

Women's Strawweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

991
(-18)
Emily Ducote
Winner: Vanessa Demopoulos
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Emily Ducote-18
Vanessa Demopoulos+19
1081
(+19)
Vanessa Demopoulos

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Emily Ducote: -29Vanessa Demopoulos: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricEmily DucoteVanessa Demopoulos
Total UFC Fights57
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 0131 098
ELO Change-29+29
💡

What Happened

Vanessa Demopoulos's 2-fight experience advantage (7 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Vanessa Demopoulos for the expected result. Had Emily Ducote pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Emily Ducote: -18Vanessa Demopoulos: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricEmily DucoteVanessa Demopoulos
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9781 058
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Emily Ducote: -8Vanessa Demopoulos: +8

Performance Statistics

MetricEmily DucoteVanessa Demopoulos
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9951 083
ELO Change-8+8
💡

What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Vanessa Demopoulos receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Emily Ducote: -18Vanessa Demopoulos: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricEmily DucoteVanessa Demopoulos
Significant Strikes Landed143109
Significant Strikes Attempted214293
Total Strikes Landed147126
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9661 057
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

Emily Ducote controlled the striking through superior volume (147 vs 126 total strikes), significant strike advantage (143 vs 109), superior accuracy (66.8% vs 37.2%). However, since Emily Ducote lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Vanessa Demopoulos's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Emily Ducote: -17Vanessa Demopoulos: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricEmily DucoteVanessa Demopoulos
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted03
Ground Control Time0:460:00
Ground Strikes Landed30
Ground ELO9931 089
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

Vanessa Demopoulos did not secure a significant ground advantage against Emily Ducote on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Emily Ducote: -17Vanessa Demopoulos: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricEmily DucoteVanessa Demopoulos
Days Since Last Fight217224
Activity ELO1 0231 131
ELO Change-17+21
💡

What Happened

Vanessa Demopoulos demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Vanessa Demopoulos capitalized on this activity level, while Emily Ducote's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Emily Ducote: -18Vanessa Demopoulos: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricEmily DucoteVanessa Demopoulos
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9841 075
ELO Change-18+21
💡

What Happened

Vanessa Demopoulos extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Emily Ducote is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Emily Ducote: -18Vanessa Demopoulos: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricEmily DucoteVanessa Demopoulos
Weight ClassWomen's StrawweightWomen's Strawweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9771 058
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.