Emily Kagan vs Kailin Curran

December 9, 2015

Women's Strawweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

936
(-33)
Emily Kagan
Winner: Kailin Curran
Submission
Round 2 • 4:13

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Emily Kagan-33
Kailin Curran+37
970
(+37)
Kailin Curran

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Emily Kagan: -33Kailin Curran: +33

Performance Statistics

MetricEmily KaganKailin Curran
Total UFC Fights23
Experience Gap-11
Experience ELO946991
ELO Change-33+33
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Emily Kagan: -22Kailin Curran: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricEmily KaganKailin Curran
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO957980
ELO Change-22+22
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Emily Kagan: -47Kailin Curran: +73

Performance Statistics

MetricEmily KaganKailin Curran
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:134:13
Win Type ELO911989
ELO Change-47+73
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What Happened

Kailin Curran earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:13, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Emily Kagan was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Emily Kagan: -22Kailin Curran: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricEmily KaganKailin Curran
Significant Strikes Landed2221
Significant Strikes Attempted8049
Total Strikes Landed4932
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO901926
ELO Change-22+22
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What Happened

Emily Kagan controlled the striking through superior volume (49 vs 32 total strikes), superior accuracy (27.5% vs 42.9%). However, since Emily Kagan lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Kailin Curran's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Emily Kagan: -72Kailin Curran: +72

Performance Statistics

MetricEmily KaganKailin Curran
Takedowns Landed11
Takedowns Attempted91
Ground Control Time4:371:14
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO901929
ELO Change-72+72
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What Happened

Kailin Curran controlled Emily Kagan on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:14 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Emily Kagan: -22Kailin Curran: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricEmily KaganKailin Curran
Days Since Last Fight363216
Activity ELO957986
ELO Change-22+28
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What Happened

Kailin Curran demonstrated standard activity with 216 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Kailin Curran capitalized on this activity level, while Emily Kagan's 363-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Emily Kagan: -22Kailin Curran: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricEmily KaganKailin Curran
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO957982
ELO Change-22+24
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What Happened

Kailin Curran started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Emily Kagan is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Emily Kagan: -22Kailin Curran: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricEmily KaganKailin Curran
Weight ClassWomen's StrawweightWomen's Strawweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO957980
ELO Change-22+22
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.