Enrique Marin vs Sage Northcutt

July 8, 2016

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

950
(-23)
Enrique Marin
Winner: Sage Northcutt
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Enrique Marin-23
Sage Northcutt+24
1069
(+24)
Sage Northcutt

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Enrique Marin: -23Sage Northcutt: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricEnrique MarinSage Northcutt
Total UFC Fights24
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9561 100
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

Sage Northcutt's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sage Northcutt for the expected result. Had Enrique Marin pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Enrique Marin: -19Sage Northcutt: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricEnrique MarinSage Northcutt
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9601 037
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Enrique Marin: -29Sage Northcutt: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricEnrique MarinSage Northcutt
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9611 132
ELO Change-29+29
💡

What Happened

Sage Northcutt earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Enrique Marin: -31Sage Northcutt: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricEnrique MarinSage Northcutt
Significant Strikes Landed1641
Significant Strikes Attempted3666
Total Strikes Landed26106
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9321 146
ELO Change-31+31
💡

What Happened

Sage Northcutt dominated the striking exchanges with 106 vs 26 total strikes, 41 vs 16 significant strikes, 62.1% vs 44.4% accuracy. Sage Northcutt capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Enrique Marin: -25Sage Northcutt: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricEnrique MarinSage Northcutt
Takedowns Landed40
Takedowns Attempted102
Ground Control Time7:274:24
Ground Strikes Landed214
Ground ELO910973
ELO Change-25+25
💡

What Happened

Sage Northcutt did not secure a significant ground advantage against Enrique Marin on the ground with 0 takedowns, 4:24 of control time, 14 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Enrique Marin: -16Sage Northcutt: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricEnrique MarinSage Northcutt
Days Since Last Fight231161
Activity ELO9631 087
ELO Change-16+29
💡

What Happened

Sage Northcutt demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Sage Northcutt capitalized on this activity level, while Enrique Marin's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Enrique Marin: -18Sage Northcutt: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricEnrique MarinSage Northcutt
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9611 043
ELO Change-18+20
💡

What Happened

Sage Northcutt started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Enrique Marin is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Enrique Marin: -19Sage Northcutt: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricEnrique MarinSage Northcutt
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9601 037
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.