February 22, 2025
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Eric McConico | Nursulton Ruziboev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 976 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Nursulton Ruziboev's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nursulton Ruziboev for the expected result. Had Eric McConico pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Eric McConico | Nursulton Ruziboev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Eric McConico | Nursulton Ruziboev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:33 | 0:33 |
| Win Type ELO | 979 | 1 231 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +44 |
Nursulton Ruziboev gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Eric McConico | Nursulton Ruziboev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 13 | 42 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 914 | 1 249 |
| ELO Change | -86 | +86 |
Nursulton Ruziboev dominated the striking exchanges with 20 vs 5 significant strikes, 47.6% vs 38.5% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Nursulton Ruziboev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Eric McConico | Nursulton Ruziboev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:36 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 954 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Nursulton Ruziboev landed 2 knockdowns followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Eric McConico | Nursulton Ruziboev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 288 |
| Activity ELO | 981 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Nursulton Ruziboev demonstrated standard activity with 288 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Nursulton Ruziboev capitalized on this activity level, while Eric McConico's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Eric McConico | Nursulton Ruziboev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Nursulton Ruziboev started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Eric McConico is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Eric McConico | Nursulton Ruziboev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

