September 16, 2008
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Houston Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 051 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Houston Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Houston Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:53 | 4:53 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 104 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +93 | -57 |
Eric Schafer earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:53, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Houston Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 21 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 22 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 978 | 908 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Eric Schafer controlled the striking exchanges with 53 vs 22 total strikes, 24 vs 12 significant strikes. Eric Schafer capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Houston Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:16 | 0:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 21 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 131 | 884 |
| ELO Change | +79 | -79 |
Eric Schafer dominated Houston Alexander on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:16 of control time, 21 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Houston Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 333 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 011 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Eric Schafer demonstrated standard activity with 333 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Eric Schafer capitalized on this activity level, while Houston Alexander's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Houston Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 008 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Eric Schafer started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Houston Alexander is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Houston Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.