January 19, 2012
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Jorge Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 968 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Jorge Rivera's 6-fight experience advantage (15 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jorge Rivera for the expected result. Had Eric Schafer pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Jorge Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 948 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Jorge Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:31 | 1:31 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 028 | 1 293 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +41 |
Jorge Rivera gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Jorge Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 9 | 17 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 47 | 34 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 899 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Eric Schafer controlled the striking through superior accuracy (66.7% vs 35.3%). However, since Eric Schafer lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jorge Rivera's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Jorge Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:38 | 0:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 982 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Jorge Rivera did not secure a significant ground advantage against Eric Schafer on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:58 of control time, 6 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Jorge Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +30 |
Jorge Rivera demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jorge Rivera capitalized on this activity level, while Eric Schafer's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Jorge Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 958 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +19 |
Jorge Rivera started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Eric Schafer is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Jorge Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 948 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

