October 23, 2009
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 043 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +40 |
Ryan Bader overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Eric Schafer.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 118 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Ryan Bader earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 52 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 116 | 166 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 45 | 74 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 999 | 1 225 |
| ELO Change | -84 | +84 |
Ryan Bader dominated the striking exchanges with 74 vs 45 total strikes, 52 vs 25 significant strikes, 31.3% vs 21.6% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Ryan Bader capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 4:25 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 1 079 | 1 218 |
| ELO Change | -90 | +90 |
Ryan Bader landed 2 knockdowns followed by 14 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 280 | 206 |
| Activity ELO | 1 030 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Ryan Bader demonstrated standard activity with 206 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ryan Bader capitalized on this activity level, while Eric Schafer's 280-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 011 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +26 |
Ryan Bader extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Eric Schafer is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.