October 19, 2007
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 014 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Stephan Bonnar's 5-fight experience advantage (8 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Stephan Bonnar for the expected result. Had Eric Schafer pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:47 | 2:47 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 011 | 1 209 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +60 |
Stephan Bonnar gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 35 | 76 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 933 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Stephan Bonnar controlled the striking exchanges with 76 vs 35 total strikes, 30 vs 13 significant strikes, 55.6% vs 76.5% accuracy. Stephan Bonnar capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:09 | 3:50 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 24 |
| Ground ELO | 1 052 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Stephan Bonnar controlled Eric Schafer on the ground with 0 takedowns, 3:50 of control time, 24 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 294 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 987 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +37 |
Stephan Bonnar demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Stephan Bonnar capitalized on this activity level, while Eric Schafer's 294-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 983 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +22 |
Stephan Bonnar extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Eric Schafer is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Eric Schafer | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.